The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
(Book)
Author
Published
New York. N.Y. : Random House, c2010.
Edition
2nd ed.
Physical Desc
xxxiii, 444 pages : ill. ; 21 cm.
Status
Moab Library - Adult Non-fiction Book
121.6 TALEB
1 available
121.6 TALEB
1 available
Description
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Copies
Location | Call Number | Status |
---|---|---|
Moab Library - Adult Non-fiction Book | 121.6 TALEB | On Shelf |
Subjects
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More Details
Published
New York. N.Y. : Random House, c2010.
Format
Book
Edition
2nd ed.
Language
English
Notes
General Note
"Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007."-T.p. verso.
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Description
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them.
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Citations
APA Citation, 7th Edition (style guide)
Taleb, N. (2010). The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable (2nd ed.). Random House.
Chicago / Turabian - Author Date Citation, 17th Edition (style guide)Taleb, Nassim. 2010. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House.
Chicago / Turabian - Humanities (Notes and Bibliography) Citation, 17th Edition (style guide)Taleb, Nassim. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Random House, 2010.
MLA Citation, 9th Edition (style guide)Taleb, Nassim. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 2nd ed., Random House, 2010.
Note! Citations contain only title, author, edition, publisher, and year published. Citations should be used as a guideline and should be double checked for accuracy. Citation formats are based on standards as of August 2021.
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